The worldbehind the markets.

Weather, climate, disasters, public health, geopolitics, cyber, supply chains, policy and technology: the world behind the markets, forecast for what it means for prices.

Global events12 subcategories · 92 variablesForecast as conditions change

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Baltic Dry

Dry bulk shipping rates

Leans higher

Timeframe: 4 hours
Forecast: Median with its 20–90% ranges
Published: Published every business day

What’s covered.

None of these trade on an exchange, so each shows how often it’s published or updated.

11 variables

TemperatureRegional and global temperature
Forecast continuously
RainfallPrecipitation
Forecast continuously
Wind speedWind intensity and patterns
Forecast continuously
HeatwavesExtreme heat events
Seasonal and event risk
Cold snapsExtreme cold events
Seasonal and event risk
SnowfallSnow and ice
Seasonal and event risk
Tropical stormsHurricanes, typhoons and cyclones
Seasonal and event risk
Degree daysHeating and cooling demand
Forecast continuously
Seasonal outlooksSeasonal weather forecasts
Updated monthly
Crop weatherAgricultural weather conditions
Forecast continuously
Water availabilityReservoirs and river levels
Seasonal

PandemicsGlobal disease spread
As events develop
EpidemicsRegional outbreaks
As events develop
Disease outbreaksEmerging infections
As events develop
Health emergenciesDeclared public health emergencies
As events develop
Labour disruptionStrikes and large absences
As events develop
DemographicsPopulation and workforce change
Long-range trends
Social instabilityProtests and civil unrest
As events develop

ElectionsOutcomes and probabilities
Ahead of each vote
ReferendumsOutcomes and probabilities
Ahead of each vote
ConflictsEscalation and developments
As events develop
TradeTariffs and trade restrictions
As policy changes
SanctionsSanctions and export controls
As policy changes
ChokepointsStrait and canal disruptions
As events develop
Government changesCoalitions and leadership changes
As events develop
Political instabilityUnrest and instability
As events develop
Military developmentsMobilisation and deployments
As events develop
Diplomatic disputesDisputes between states
As events develop
AgreementsTreaties and trade deals
As policy changes
Territorial disputesContested borders and waters
As events develop

Power outagesElectricity grid disruptions
As events develop
PipelinesOil and gas interruptions
As events develop
Grid failuresTransmission and distribution
As events develop
Refinery outagesRefining capacity offline
As events develop
LNG disruptionsLiquefaction and terminal outages
As events develop
Port congestionDelays at major ports
As events develop

CyberattacksMajor attacks on firms and states
As events develop
Market outagesExchange and payment disruptions
As events develop
Technology failuresLarge-scale system failures
As events develop
VulnerabilitiesCritical software flaws
As events develop
Telecom outagesNetwork disruptions
As events develop
Chip supplySemiconductor supply disruption
As events develop
BreakthroughsMajor technological advances
As developments emerge

Shipping disruptionVessel diversions and delays
As events develop
Port closuresClosures at major ports
As events develop
Trade routesInterrupted sea, rail and air lanes
As events develop
Transport failuresRail, road and air breakdowns
As events develop
Industrial accidentsPlant and facility incidents
As events develop
Infrastructure damageBridges, canals and terminals
As events develop
Resource shortagesCritical input scarcity
As events develop
Factory disruptionManufacturing stoppages
As events develop

Financial regulationBanking and securities rules
As policy changes
Crypto regulationDigital asset rules
As policy changes
Tax policyCorporate and personal tax
As policy changes
TariffsImport and export duties
As policy changes
Capital controlsLimits on capital flows
As policy changes
Energy policyEnergy and climate policy
As policy changes
Environmental rulesEmissions and environmental regulation
As policy changes
SubsidiesGovernment support schemes
As policy changes
CompetitionAntitrust decisions
As policy changes
Market structureExchange and trading reforms
As policy changes
Fiscal policyBudgets and spending
As policy changes

Artificial intelligenceAI adoption and capability
As developments emerge
AutomationRobotics and automation
As developments emerge
SemiconductorsChip design and capacity
As developments emerge
Energy technologyStorage, renewables and grids
As developments emerge
BiotechnologyDrug and therapy advances
As developments emerge
FintechPayments and financial technology
As developments emerge
Digital infrastructureData centres and networks
As developments emerge
Tech regulationRules on technology firms
As policy changes

What Radar61forecasts here.

The forecast types that matter most for global events, each with its range, horizon and evidence, and every outcome recorded.

Event-drivenWhat follows the event?

ProbabilityHow likely is each outcome?

RiskHow bad could it get?

MacroeconomicWhat will the data do to it?

RangeHow far could it move?

Market regimeTrending, ranging or stressed?

Every other market.

ForexMajor, minor and exotic pairs.Explore →Precious metalsGold, silver, platinum and palladium.Explore →CommoditiesEnergy, agriculture and industrial metals.Explore →Digital assetsLarge caps, altcoins, DeFi, stablecoins and derivatives.Explore →EquitiesTechnology, finance, healthcare, energy and consumer.Explore →Equity indicesUS, Europe, Asia, Africa, Australia and global.Explore →ETFsEquity, fixed income and commodity funds.Explore →Fixed incomeGovernment bonds, curves, credit and rate futures.Explore →DerivativesFutures, options, swaps, credit and volatility.Explore →Real estateListed REITs.Explore →Carbon marketsEU, UK and California allowances.Explore →Economic indicatorsInflation, growth, jobs, central banks, credit, positioning and supply.Explore →

See global event forecasts live.

Every forecast states its range, horizon and evidence, and every outcome is scored.

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